Software is a garden that needs to be tended. LTS (and to a lesser extent requirements for large amounts of backwards compatibility) arguments are the path the ossification and orgs running 10+ year out of date, unsupported legacy garbage that nobody wants to touch, and nobody can migrate off because it’s so out of whack.
Don’t do this. Tend your garden. Do your upgrades and releases frequently, ensure that everything in your stack is well understood and don’t let any part of your stack ossify and “crust over”.
Upgrades (even breaking ones) are easier to handle when you do them early and often. If you let them pile up, and then have to upgrade all at once because something finally gave way, then you’re simply inflicting unnecessary pain on yourself.